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speeches, fund-raisers, they're all over. now comes down to u.s. voters. more than 120 million are expected to show up at the polls. >> and european investors are holding off on big moves. equities just edging higher led by technology stocks. >> and adecco sees hiring picking up in america. >>> we're finally here, election day in the united states. before that, we have the latest pmis out of the eurozone. economy declined steepening going into the fourth quarter. the final services pmi lower than the flash. it was 46.2 was the flash. lowest since july 2009. that means the composite final pmi 45.7. the flash 45.8. french services pmi weakened, also. 46.2. so both those major parts of the eurozone economy -- >> and remember, this is a leading indicator. if you see europe doing any better next year, you have to start seeing at least this indicator bottoming. >> dollar just dipped down to its lowest point of the session on the back of that. and of course we've got in spain they're talking about the groth being much weaker than the government's forecast. >> even though their service might have b
rolls to re-election and a second term, defeating mitt romney despite a weak u.s. economy and persistently high unemployment. >> investors cheer obama's re-election. equities trading high led by autos and health care stocks. >> democrats keep their hold of the senate and republicans keep their control of the house. >> there will be a tough challenge facing the looming fiscal cliff. >>> a very good morning to you. it's been a long night, but we have a result. >> yes, we do. let's get right it to. president barack obama capturing a second term in the white house despite the struggling u.s. economy. he did manage to win many of the same states he took in 2008 and nearly all the critical swing states, including ohio, virginia, and colorado. speaking to supporters in chicago just a few hours ago, the president congratulated his republican challenger on the spirited race and said there's plenty of work ahead to fix the country's fiscal problems. >> i believe we can seize this future together, because we are not as divided as our politics suggest. we're not as cynical as the pund
economists and business leaders say could send the u.s. economy back into recession. here we have an interesting divide between wall street and washington. wall street seems to believe and you can take a look at the numbers on how the market has acted over the past year. wall street seems to believe that we'll avert this cliff. washington seems to be willing to drive over the cliff. >> i think there's -- i don't want to pick on the tea party per se. you can say if obama would suddenly give in on taxes. what i worry about is there are people who are ideological in the country and more focused on other issues than taxation and money. those people i think are very much out of sync with other people as we discovered last night from the election. they could care less about the fiscal cliff. i think some people want to go over the cliff. >> howard dean last night, sam on "squawk" a couple weeks ago saying maybe it's the best medicine for us is to drive over this thing, go into a recession, provide some bed for growth in the second half of the year. it's a gamble. >> $5 trillion in cuts.
economics. back here in the u.s., reports from walmart and target. at 8:30, we get weekly jobless claims. october consumer price index. and the november empire state survey. in corporate news, bp expected to pay a record u.s. criminal penalty and plead guilty to criminal misconduct in the 2010 deepwater horizon disaster, a plea deal reached with the department of justice reportedly may be announced as soon as today. reuters says bp will plead guilty in exchange for a waiver of future prosecution on the charges. bp says it is in discussions, but no final agreement has been reached yet. >> fun to have you here today. we do hope mr. kernen get better very soon. he's not normally sick. >> he never calls out sick. so he must be really sick. >> i think there's a flu going around. >> convenient for all of us. i took chips out of his bag yesterday and now i'm -- >> who is the guy sitting in his seat? >> can we get some lie sole over here? >> let's get back to the topic dominating the conversation from wall street to washington right now. of course it is the looming fiscal cliff. we have made it
's next. >>> if congress drifts u.s. economy off the fiscal cliff, the department of education's 2013 budget will be cut by over $4 billion with $256 million cut from the federal student aid program. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and game from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some good people to help guide him, and he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. it's just common sense. when you take a closer look... the best schools in the world... see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> welcome back. i'm bertha coombs
, this is fascinating. the fiscal cliff issue is a reason for many markets to move in the u.s. it's also big reason in europe and as it overlays several months going back to june with dow jones industrial average, you can see that our market was impacted more by the election but both charts are highly correlated and it's the fact that we are talking potential solutions to our fiscal cliff. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. just a note here, we're waiting for intel to begin trading again. a delayed open because of news that ceo will be retiring in may. we're awaiting that opening trade. 9:45 eastern time is our latest indication. meantime, will we see a massive correction even if there is a fiscal cliff deal? that's what david shulman is saying. find out why the senior economist is making such a bearish call. brewing job creation. what the folks at sam adams are doing to get food and beverage entrepreneurs a lift. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] introducing the new dell xps 12. part of a whole new line of tablets from dell. it's changing the conversation. ♪ well, havi
for chapter 11. different news to digest. sales in the u.s., ford, gm, doing well. japanese automaker selling to china not doing so well. foreign automaker selling into china doing well at bmw. >> i think the suzuki thing mirrors what's happening at ford. >> i had an eye on one of their models. >> which one? >> the one with the four wheels. >> i have a harley in my garage. >> i'm not kidding. >> which garage is it by the way? do you even know? >> one of them is flooded. are you happy with that? >> is there a side car at leas.? >> i have tattoos all of the way up you just don't see them. suzuki blinking, ford, blinking, gm starting to blink. there's anti-globalization going on that we have to notice. some people say that i can't hack it in these markets. toyota was good. bmw was downbeat in terms of future. it wouldn't be something if everyone recognized what alcoa recognized. maybe it's too hard to be global. maybe it's too hard. go, suzuki was broken by the yen. it's hard to do business when you have these currency wars going on. >> how about kimberly getting out of diapers in europe? there'
-mails the recipient a digital itunes code. gifts are currentsly just available to tens of millions of facebook's u.s. users, but will be able as gifts rolls out broadly. this bolsters facebook's retail business tapping into digital content and subscriptions which are the fastest online growing retail category. facebook won't comment on the business model but presumably facebook gets a cut and it does of course benefit when users were more engaged on the site. today facebook shares rallied on a pair of analyst upgrades. this partnership gives apple access to facebook's users securing its position as the leading music distributor as it faces new competition from the likes of microsoft's xbox music, google music and amazon's cloud player. now of course, if facebook can convince more customers to hand over their credit card information using that itunes as a lure, that's of course a good way to get them to spend more money on facebook gifts down the line. >> thank you so much, julia. >>> now the countdown is really on. no pressure. the workers are going back to the office. they're thinking they're going
the dollar. we've had, for example, people expecting that qe would lead to a big crash in the u.s. dollar. it didn't really do that. i think part of what we're seeing in the u.s. dollar is the question mark still about europe now. you have the greek situation and the bunt coming up for a vote there, some uncertainty as to where that's going to go. so that may be weighing a bitton euro helping the dollar. i think the dollar is much more now in play with what is going on in the rest of the world, rather than a u.s. story per se. >> avery, good to talk to you. avery shenfeld. be sure to keep it locked into cnbc for all your election day coverage tomorrow. we kick it off at 5:00 p.m. >>> apple posting better than expected sales of the ipad mini. our guy adami gave a little trade school on when to buy apple stock. take a listen. >> well, i would use sort of 610 as a pivot. 610 i think a close above 610, it breaks out again towards the upside. >> all right. the stock popped today, closed above the 575 level. what do you do now? >> the low on friday was 575.75. it doesn't really matter what you
. it is all about the u.s. this week. the tone for the most part has been negative this morning as you can judge from the red behind me. yes the uk pmi data came in weak, points to the country potentially in contraction territory despite the better gdp figures. some concern about greece. investors seem to be standing on the sidelines until a lot of these issues are resolved or at least there's more clarity. this follows reports over the weekend that some of the ways in which spanish banks borrow at cheap rates may not have been legal. the ecb says it's exploring the issue. one of the companies weighing on the foot city, hsbc which has said it is provisioning $1.5 billion against the laundering charges. group profit slightly disappointed investors. shares down 1.4% as a result the there. but that's really it in terms of the major corporate news. ubs going through a bit of a shake up. the bond wall expresses more of the mood we're seeing on the eve of the u.s. elections here. it's a rotation out of the periphery into the core. the gilts are benefiting. spain, italy seeing yields a little hig
's number two. third one of course is u.s. election. this is where some of the problems is. have you noticed german bonds today moving on the upside rather aggressively. u.s. bonds moving on the upside. that's all this stalemate concerns out here. that's all i heard this morning. that's all i heard over the weekend. the likely outcome is a stalemate no matter who wins on the fiscal cliff. obama will have to compromise. romney will have to compromise. what's the best hope for the industry and business right now? best hope is a last-minute deal to postpone tax cuts for yet another year, which could in fact go into the first quarter of negotiations. some of the people are more optimistic it will happen before that. some are not. that's why we get bonds moving to the upside right now. jim, i noticed that you mentioned the deal this morning with kbw. it's a symptom of what's going on in the friday overall. this was the big topic of the day. those who didn't hear, they are buying kbw for no premium. we're talking 6% premium. the stock was 16. offering 17 and change. that's no premium out there. th
. this isn't issue number one for the u.s. economic recovery has been unsatisfying. that's one area where wall street is hoping that's the way it would go under a romney president and probably will go that way. >> what about taxes? let's go through the two plans on taxes. this is one of the more important yishdz for wall street, whether it's capital gains taxes, dividend taxes, ordinary income. let's define each side here. todd? >> well, look, romney's been very -- he wants a tax-friendly environment, maria. he's been vocal about that. i mean, that's just the culture of the gop. but then these guys are the odd couple. you have president obama who clearly is talking about higher taxes for the upper class and also thinking, have you to look at those other taxes, health care taxes, for example, that will impact the middle class. you have a romney presidency, you can only assume we have will have a cut in taxes but we need to resolve this fiscal cliff issue. it's not just resolving the fiscal cliff, it's also a long-term plan up. don't want to have to go through this every 12 months, talk abo
? >> i'm, today, tomorrow -- today here, tomorrow there -- i'm going to short more bonds, more u.s. government bonds. i'm going to buy more commodities, buy metals, base metals and precious metals. looks to me like the money printing is going to run amok now. and the spending is going to run amok now. again, larry, i'm not saying this is good for the world, it's not good for anybody. this is what's going to go on. i have to invest based on what's happening, not on what i would like. >> mr. rodgers, rick santelli here. what about europe? i don't disagree with your notion you want to sell treasuries. i do disagree treasuries were moving to the downside because of a barack win. most of the traders in chicago were definitely thinking mitt was going to win. they were buying puts on the treasuries. they were buying calls on the s&ps. my question to you is pure and simple. the world is lending us money at rates much too cheap. i wouldn't lend uncle sam my money for ten years for 170 basis points but the european issue continues to push more investors into treasuries. when do you think tha
not only surprises the street with a beat but says the u.s. enterprise business is showing signs of improvement. >>> and abercrombie silences the shorts. >> the president is scheduled to meet with a dozen ceos this afternoon to hear their concerns about looming tax increases and spending cuts. 73% of participants in a "wall street journal" ceo council conference said the fiscal cliff is their primary concern. goldman chairman and ceo lloyd blankfein talking about the importance of avoiding the fiscal cliff. he writes there's more than a trillion dollars of cash that is sitting on the balance sheets of u.s. nonfinancial companies with certainty about tax rates, companies will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." if there was a disagreement as to whether this is becoming a mainstream story. story of "usa today," a giant cliff and inside a chart of how it will affect people. this is getting real. >> the editor of "usa today" is the single best print journalist going today. he understands what the pulse i
that the u.s. matters. but let me use this rally today to help you understand the world of expectations. not reality. not reality at all. but expectations. >> house of pleasure. >> and how do expectations matter so much more than what has already happened? we're in the midst of earnings season. the bulk of technology reports are already reported. the first was that the united states was holding its own. maybe getting a little better. power behind consumer spend. the fiscal cliff looming but still the positive. second is that europe's a disaster and the most important thing you can do is distance yourself from the continent. ask companies like alcoa and ford. the third, that china had become a big disappointment. yeah, china. and it wupt going to turn around any time soon. certainly not in time to help 2012. this came from a decline in orders. they all articulated as such on a recent conference call. companies that have been optimistic that china was about to turn, that the growth was about to kick in collectively seemed to give up all at once on the clos sus. nobody had been more upbeat
to pull back, u.s. rebuilds kuwait. you had to believe he would do something rational like that. did saddam think he could beat the united states in a war? many thought he was actually a rational human being who would reach the conclusion that couldn't happen. oops. fast forward 22 years. today we saw similar fears by the the current crop of short sellers. you could hear their thoughts like mine in 1990. what happens if they do something rational? s what if they start caring about all the people forced out of work immediately or have to pay far more in taxes? what happens if they actually rise above? those concerns caused people to cover their short positions betting that the consequences of going over the cliff were unthinkable, as what saddam would face if he had to go to war with the united states. of course it turns out there never was any deal back then and we had to go to war, we won and that was it. markets bottomed because the decline compensated for the war already unless we would have lost it. we didn't know the outcome or how long it would take at the time we knew whenever
to go follow the united states while it lobbies for a reconsideration of the u.s. stance. the delay could push back the start of basel iii by about six months. the law was mepts ant to be pha in by the start of 2013. >> archstone was not part of the zell asset, was it? >> i feel like zell was related to it. >> but he sold right at the top. so that was part of the problem. it wasn't just a total lack of due diligence. i mean, everything was valued hire when archstone was first sold, right? >> yes. but as i'm looking at this, no, sam zell i do not believe was involved. >> that was the equity office and -- >> and then blab stone. but blackstone even though they bought at the top figured out a way to then sell pieces of it very, very quickly. and they did very well. >> entrade is no longer accepting u.s. customers citing legal and regulatory pressures. that announcement coming hours after the u.s. commodities regulators sued the exchange's owner alleging that it allowed unauthorized trading by u.s. customers, u.s. customers must close their accounts and withdrawal all funds by the end o
bell, it was music to our ears and i loved it. i think it also began a drum beat for the u.s. economy as well. as tragic has sandy has been, the rebuild will include many on its back. jobs coming. "mad money" will be right back. >>> coming up, earnings alert. wall street's back online and cramer's got earnings season covered with an all-star lineup you can't afford to miss. industrial giant eaton fresh off its quarterly report. then, the ceo of apparel maker pvh soaring over 20% after news of a big acquisition. plus, the ceo of annie's. after falling from its highs, is it ready to run again? and tanger outlets ceo ahead of the holiday rush. this jam-packed edition of "mad money" is just ahead. [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus presents the cold truth. i have a cold... i took dayquil, but i still have a runny nose. [ male announcer ] truth is, dayquil doesn't work on runny noses. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have an antihistamine. really? [ male announcer ] really. alka-seltzer plus cold and cough fights your worst cold symptoms, plus has a fast acting antihistamine to reliev
softer condition and background in europe politically. and i think improving conditions here in the u.s. for the consumer and for manufacturing and for gdp in general. our general background is pretty positive. >> great points there. sandy, what about you? you say regardless of who wins the election, the fiscal cliff would be either downsized or deferred. what does that mean? >> well, i think downsizing is more likely. have you to factor in the hurricane as well because that's going to be a half a percentage point decline as well, coupled with, you need to get that fiscal cliff down to 1% or maybe 0.5%. i think the downsizing has to be pretty substantial. they're either going to have to defer it to the new congress and either a new administration or the existing one, but they've got to get it downsized pretty substantially pretty quickly. and it's going to require, because of that gridlock we're going to have again, a bipartisan concurrence. that's going to be the test in 2013. >> chris, what do you think? how do you want to invest with $1.5 billion under management, how are you allocat
is considering shipping some of their u.s. shale gas assets to asia. with the current push for energy independence in the u.s., would that even pass regulatory muster and what impact would that have on the stock price? >> a lot of people are feeling that epa will make it so that the only one that can export from here is cheniere lng. i don't think you'll be able to export. i think the government will stop it. tom in new york? tom? >> caller: boo-yah, jim, from new york. >> good to have you. >> caller: i've been hearing so much about true religion. where do you think they're headed? >> it's happening. you have to be on to the next one. that is for real. i'm looking for the next takeover play. but only one that has good fundamentals. how about charlie in washington state? charlie? [ busy tone ] >> wow, charlie sounds like one of those eagles plays i called in yesterday. yeah, it was my fault. the fiscal cliff is clouding judgment and overshadowing good investment opportunities. we have to keep the pressure on. and then we can go back to saving for our kids and retirement. "mad money" wi
the costliest u.s. catastrophes. forecasting a cost between $10 billion and $20 billion worth of insured losses. the final tally impacted by, among other things, power in the transportation grids. as for the insurance industry with over $500 billion in capital it can pay expected claims. at last year's premium increases and a decline in catastrophe claims bulked up their profile. deutsche bank claims it could trim earnings by 36% but it could also help insurers later giving them cover to raise premiums. back to you. >>> sandynjrelief mary pat christie is on the news line with us right now. welcome. good to have you with us. >> thanks, tyler. >> at some risk, i ask how are you and the christie family holding up? your husband and you have both then tireless this last week. gout to be pretty tired these days? >> we're doing pretty well. it's all relative, right, tyler? we don't have power yet but hopeful that we will soon. i'm also hopeful that our children get to go back to school tomorrow. >> we're in the same boat and expected to go back to school in my town montclair some time on wed
of medical technology in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> welcome back. we want to show you the very latest. what you're looking at here is virginia. the polls have closed but nbc news is saying it is too close to call. also, florida, some polls have closed. all of the polls will close at the top of the hour. but what we see here as you can see, some polls have closed and so far we are really in a neck and neck situation in florida. all of those polls will close at the top of the hour. every house seat as well up for grabs and more than 30 senate races as well. >> and whoever wins the white house will have to work with this group to solve some big fiscal issues in this country. amman jabbers is watching the balance of power tonight. >> hi. well election night has
, accused of pulling off the biggest insider trading scheme in u.s. history. we'll get back to that as soon as we get those pictures in. but obviously we're having a little bit of difficulty doing that. stephanie link, didn't mean to interrupt you. finish your thought. >> no problem. i was just saying the third quarter was much better than the second quarter. and if you look at revenues and advertising and look at payments, they all grew double digits and beat expectations. if you look at mobile ad revenues coming out of the third quarter that are revenue run rate of $1 billion. that legitimatizes the mobile monetization situation, which was the key issue for everybody in this ipo. stocks trading at about 35 times forward estimates, growing earnings about 37%. i think the valuation is attractive particularly given the stock has come down quite a bit. >> you bring up an interesting point. and herb, you called it great for a trade. stephanie link said a good investment. why only good for a trade? >> well, we don't know what the long-term is here. i think she's making the bet that a good inves
and save the u.s. economy from going down a dangerous road. it is wednesday, november 7th, the day after and a special early presentation of "squawk box" follows the late presentation that we had yesterday. but it starts right now. >>> good morning, everyone. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. and yes, we know it's only 5:00 a.m. on the east coast, but you don't have to double check your clocks. on the morning after election day, we couldn't wait until 6:00 a.m. to get back on the air. the american public handing president obama four more years in the white house. meantime, the balance of power stays the same in the senate. this morning, we have two main items on the squawk agenda. after months of handicapping the race, we'll find out how the global markets react to the decision and ask how you need to position your portfolio. we have a number of people on hand to help us with that task, including mike santoli. he is our guest the next hour. chuck gabriel, his job is to try to connect the dots between washington and investors. we have jeremy seigel. also, vincent rinehart. we'll be jo
print real u.s. postage for all your letters and packages. it gives you the exact amount of postage you need the instant you need it. can you print only stamps? no. first class. priority mail. certified. international. and the mailman picks it up. i don't leave the shop anymore. [ male announcer ] get a 4-week trial plus $100 in extras including postage and a digital scale. go to and never go to the post office again. side by side so you get the same coverage, often for less. that's one smart board. what else does it do, reverse gravity? [ laughs ] [ laughs ] [ whooshing ] tell me about it. why am i not going anywhere? you don't believe hard enough. a smarter way to shop around. now that's progressive. call or click today. [ grunting ] >>> throughout this entire >>> throughout this entire period, it's been difficult for the markets. there has been one trend that has been held up the entire time. crm is the symbol. the software is the service player that is the king of the cloud. tech is linked in for the higher price to earnings multiple. being a high flying turbo charged
died in the u.s. as a result of sandy. most of them from new york and new jersey. still 5.6 million customers in the dark. and it may be ten days before the hardest hit areas sea power restored. more than 19,000 flights were canceled because of sandy, but stranded passengers have something to be thankful for. newark and jfk airports were back in business yesterday and delta and american airlines are scheduled to resume a limited number of flights out of laguardia in about 30 minutes. the mta is also getting back to business with new york city subways offering limited service starting today. the m tcta is waiving all fees until tomorrow. so good news there. >> we're looking for any good news so thank you. the eye of hurricane sandy has hit the jersey shore hard. it wiped away entire economies. president obama surveyed the damage with chris christie yesterday. this morning kayla tausche is in toms river, seaside heights. what's it look like there? >> reporter: it's very dark here. we're at the mouth of the bridge which leads over to sea sooid heights, a road only accessible by emergen
haven't made a payment that was ordered of you. >> ordered by who? by some guy? >> by a judge in the u.s. >> let's go to the hague. i'm appealing to the world court. >> they may appeal to the supreme court right here in the good old united states. >> let's see where that goes. i think argentina is a big country and if they want to, they can say, hey, nice to meet you. >> they can. >> right. >> if they want to get back into the capital markets to borrow money which is unclear if they want to at this point. >> what did you say on friday? >> they also have the money. they can make the payment. it's not as though they are distressed. >> you said they're not even borrowing. >> they're not. >> that's why i listen to your report. >> you did listen. i'm glad you did. >> it's amazing that 12 years after that default we're still talking about some of the ripple effects that's going back a ways. >> i thought it was an amazing story. >> we go back to the old citi saying countries don't go broke. >> remember shipley. tallest man in the world. good guy. a lot of good bankers. >> let's bring up old ban
in the u.s. and the stock gives 2.5% yield. in the aftermath of hurricane sandy, we learned never to take our electricity for granted. it can always be knocked out by the next big storm. that's why generac has rallied so massively. it pulls back maybe we'll look at it. but if you're looking for a smart stealth way to benefit from the increased demand for generators, i say look no further than briggs and stratton which has barely budged at all since the storm, despite making best generators out there. after the break, i'll try to make you more money. >> coming up, rent to own? buyouts and fresh faced newcomers have given that new car smell to the rental market. and cramer's found a play that could be your vehicle of growth. find out which of these companies can give you a smooth ride. >>> and later, natural wonder? clean, domestic, abundant and ignored? after some promising returns, plays on the nat gas fuel future have failed to gain traction. tonight, cramer lays out what to watch for so you can position your portfolio. >>> plus, holding them accountable. the fiscal cliff is coming. and
they have? >> exactly. so 350 million u.s. dollars go through the ariba network oh and every day. but it's an addressable market of 8 trillion u.s. dollars. so you're connecting buyers and sellers in a global business network. what does that do for the customer? i got everybody competing for my business. i'm going to get a lower price point. >> okay. i get that. now, our friend peter mcclausen, i'm sure you know, he brought in sap and we were always anxious to have it done fast. we made a series of acquisitions. sometimes they just can't call you and have it be done in a day, can they? >> here's the deal. the days of sold implementations have radically changed. why? because you can put it on the cloud. so many companies today are going to innovate at the edge of the enterprise for their people, their suppliers, their customers or their money. and they'll innovate on the edge of the enterprise in the cloud. or some company, small, mid size as an example and some large once will run their entire company, either a public or private cloud. the good thing about sap is we can run an entire com
. that was in the u.s. as of 8:00 p.m. on on monday october the 29th. we originally saw previous landfall. as we progress into the northeast for today, light snowfall and rain for today. but the bigger concern is what's happening with the system that will be diving across the country. it's going to take a nose dive south of the system that's actually produce rain and snow across the dakotas. it will eventually take a nose dive south. and what that will do, there we go, here's a look at some of our spotty showers as well as our snowfall. again, a little bit of being a tip weather still knocking on the door of the northwest. here's a look at that system that i was telling you about. again, that will produce 1 to 4 inches of snow into portions of the dakotas as well as knocking on the door of northwestern minnesota. our storm system once it does track a little further east on sunday, things getting a difference from southeastern texas all the way up in to north carolina. now, as for those of you who are keeping tabs again on the weather across the middle east, the bitterly cold temperatures as we g
of the u.s. economy. it's tuesday, november 6th, election day, 2012. "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning. welcome to "squawk box." i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin and the polls are opening in various parts of the east coast as we speak. some 30 million americans have already voted, including the folks in the tiny village of dixville notch. this follows tradition, they voted just after midnight and with the lowest turnout in almost 50 years, this time around it was a tie. five votes for president obama, five for governor romney. back in 2008, president obama defeated john mccain 16-5. let's take a look at the map. 270 electoral votes are needed to win. nbc news now shows president obama with 237 likely. romney 206. and 95 in the toss-up column, so it is going to be a very long evening, andrew. >> i think we'll be staying up pretty late and then we'll be back at it tomorrow morning. but cnbc's team of reporters has the country covered this morning. stationed in battleground states, campaign headquarters and here at election central. among our
their supporters out to vote, business, u.s. chambers doing exactly the same thing for the republicans. we're going to know on tuesday which side was more successful, larry. >> all right. john harwood. many thanks for that. >>> now president obama and mitt romney are crisscrossing the country in these critical final four days. obama's going to visit colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and florida. and an almost identical tour for romney excepts he swaps florida in favor of, get this, pennsylvania. very interesting. now you're going to be looking, there it is, live pictures of westchester, ohio, where a mitt romney rally is under way. tens of thousands there, and lines to come into the rally stretch out for six blocks. this is interesting. does team romney see an opening there? let's talk here now is democratic strategist robert shrum, columnist for "the daily beast" and ed rogers, republican strategist and former bush 41 deputy assistant. gentlemen, welcome back. >> good to be here. >> i want to begin with this thought. not the jobs thing. the jobs thing is too inconclusive. w
the u.s. dollar is a very simple vote. the u.s. dollar's been up six of the last seven weeks. at the same time, you've seen calamity in some commodity prices. gold starting to break down. if romney were to win, the first thing i think happens is more of the same which would imply ben bernanke removed from his seat, gold would be under a serious amount of duress, and you'd start to really have to bake in whether it's hubbard or taylor at the fed, a whole host of issues could come into the bond market -- >> that's your romney, clinton, king dollar scenario, if i may. >> yeah. both reagan and clinton were good for the dollar. i think romney, certainly in the intermediate term, would be seen as a bullish thing for the dollar as well. that could get gas prices in the end, i think that's good for the country, good for consumption. >> wow, great stuff. thank you ever so much. >>> it's election eve. who's going to be the victor? obama or romney? we keep asking this question. predictions up next. please stay right here. >>> president obama will win tomorrow night for two reasons. firs
i'm jim cramer. see you tomorrow! >>> i am larry kudlow. a blockbuster prediction. the u.s. set to take over as the top world oil producer in the next decade. will the epa block this tremendous economic and political breakthrough? then if president obama and john boehner can rise above and get a deal done for the fiscal cliff, there is a lot of money that could be made in stocks. and why shouldn't top military and business leaders maintain an honorable code of conduct? isn't it better to have a moral center? general david petraeus is a great man. but he made, unfortunately, a great mistake. first up, are we on the verge for american oil revolution? according to the international energy agency, the u.s. will overtake saudi arabia as the world's largest oil producer that before the year 2020. but -- don't get your hopes completely up as the epa could block this fantastic market-driven advance. nobody better to talk about it is john hofmeister. john, it is a pleasure to have you here. now, is it credible, first of all the report, we will overtake the saudis? >> report is credible.
, change engineering in dubai, aluminum production in south africa, and the aerospace industry in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> we are going to look at last-minute stock place for your portfolio new obama millionaires house, do they stack up against gop presidents? >>> and a once we know who will be the president the next four years will we finally solve the fiscal cliff? if not, you won't believe what it will cost you. get back to power lunch. >>> the voters are heading to the poll, with the election behind us tomorrow, will we see a pop either way because of some of the uncertainty removed from the market or not? your massive this morning, you had interesting statistics and you said this market looks like '08 all over again what way? >> traditionally, election
to the post office anymore. [ male announcer ] with, you can print real u.s. postage for all your letters and packages. it gives you the exact amount of postage you need the instant you need it. can you print only stamps? no. first class. priority mail. certified. international. and the mailman picks it up. i don't leave the shop anymore. [ male announcer ] get a 4-week trial plus $100 in extras including postage and a digital scale. go to and never go to the post office again. >> okay so cisco reported a good number and did not guide down. i thought when i saw home depot do that beautiful number i thought that could lead the market. in the end, everything is put through one prism and that is washington. and it makes it almost
. but it will be a so what event. nobody is going to sell you u.s. bonds. we don't have that kind of demand. at least when it comes to spill over to here. many of those have cut their exposure. companies are cutting back. it has been working. find alley the sheer length of time that this crisis has unfolded, it makes everything more easily to deal with. last year i was arguing for a kick the can strategy. a lot of the traditional thinking has got us there. if it does sink us into the oblivion is there. it has not been lost just diluted. they got their heads cut off at has been the way of the french. stick with cramer are. having you ship my gifts couldn't be easier. well, having a ton of locations doesn't hurt. and my daughter loves the santa. oh, ah sir. that is a customer. let's not tell mom. [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. fedex office. that bringing you better technology helps make you a better investor. with our revolutionary e-trade 360 dashboard you see exactly where your money is and what it's doing live. our e-trade pro platform offers powerful functionality that's still so
chapter. >>> some decisions, some transaction says more about the u.s. economy than all the other reports out there, labor, commerce, i don't care. maybe more than all of them combined. the move by conagra is one of those decision. a lot of different household brands cobbled together, both the supermarkets and restaurants, mcdonald's, that kind of thing, slim jim, marie, hunt, chef boy-r-dee. many of them lost their cache, because manufacturers have taken prices up year after year after year. why? to please their stockholders. it's not good business. combination, the analysts jacking up the prices, smaller profit margins for the stores that sell them has led to a situation where they feel pinched, you feel pinched. enter private label. the supermarkets tried to adopt the equivalent of what's known as the pipe and rack outlet store. the deal was to say look at me, look at me, i'm cheaper than the other stuff. buy me. you took it to the register, i'm struggling to feed my family. when you took it home, your family says this doesn't taste as good as the brands. but on the way we got the evol
a bank did. a bank like wells fargo, u.s. bancorp -- morgan stanley with tremendous exposure to the continent. that's why at times i've had to dismiss the earnings per share gates entirely at the moment if the cohort was radically out of favor. but i never just forgot them. instead i try to choose -- figure out which one's ten at times, break the sector of the gravitational pull and which one can shine. if the sector falls back into favor i got to be ready. in bottom 2009 remember the march bottom generational? we've seen many sectors retail and individual stocks within those sectors outperform. i like to listen to the earnings of all the retailers. at given times i am wrapped by the groups doing the best. by far the top performers during this period have been the discount stores, particularly the dollar stores. dollar general, dg, and dollar tree. when i see the markets tied at money going to retail i go back to my earnings report memory and i reach for these two. i know they have the most earnings momentum. i only know that because i keep listening to the calls. even though
what matters. >>> some decisions, some transactions say more about the u.s. economy than all the other reports throughout. labor, commerce, maybe more than all of them combined. the to booir roll corp for $5 billion is one of those decisions. a lot of different has how old brands over time and take advantage of a good supply chain for soup marke supermarkets, hebrew national, slim jim, swiss miss, brands that were in your mom's cabinets and brands in your kids' cabinets. something happened to big national brands in the great recession. many of them lost their cache. in part because they took prices up year of year after year. why? to please their stockholders and they haven't made as much money selling them like they used to taking up a lot of space. not good business. the endless jaeking up of prices and more profit margins for the stores that sell them. you feel pinched and the supermarket feels priced out, enter private label. at one point they came in black and white cannes and the sup supermarkets tried to adopt this. they want to say, look at me, look at me, i'm cheaper than the
expectancy in the u.s., real estate in hong kong, and the optics industry in germany? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully beinvesting. with investment information, risks, fees and expenses we call this our mission.mpany, green toys teaches children that if i have a milk jug and i stick it in the recycling bin it can turn into something new. chase allows us to buy capital equipment to be able to manufacture in the states to the scale we need to be a global company. with a little luck green toys could be the next great american brand. find what's next for your business at >> 16 minutes past the hour. want to get to john harwood in the map room. >> you look at the electoral vote count and it looks very even but look under the top line numbers of what we have seen so far and see how i
. it didn't matter how well a bank did. a bank like wells fargo, u.s. bancorp -- morgan stanley with tremendous exposure to the continent. that's why at times i've had to dismiss the earnings per share gates entirely at the moment if the cohort was radically out of favor. but i never just forgot them. instead i try to choose -- figure out which one's ten at times, break the sector of the gravitational pull and which one can shine. if the sector falls back into favor i got to be ready. in bottom 2009 remember the march bottom generational? we've seen many sectors retail and individual stocks within those sectors outperform. i like to listen to the earnings of all the retailers. at given times i am wrapped by the groups doing the best. by far the top performers during this period have been the discount stores, particularly the dollar stores. dollar general, dg, and dollar tree. when i see the markets tied at money going to retail i go back to my earnings report memory and i reach for these two. i know they have the most earnings momentum. i only know that because i keep listening
in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. ♪ mom? dad? guys? [ engine turns over ] [ engine revs ] ♪ he'll be fine. [ male announcer ] more people are leaving bmw, mercedes and lexus for audi than ever before. take advantage of exceptional values during the season of audi event. >>> welcome back to our special coverage. hundreds of races in the house and senate tonight. >> there's tight races in the senate in early returns. pretty much going as we expected. we do have handful of newly projected winners in the senate races so far. nbc news declared that bill nelson is projected winner in the state of florida. nbc news also declaring angus king the projected winner in the state of maine. he's someone that we'll want to watch because he's an independent who hasn't said who h
-year average. a pop out of the stock today. >> i'm looking at letter x as well. that's u.s. steel. up five and a third percent. ubs adding to the alpha most preferred list. time to get in there. >> this is a high quality company in a tough industry. a lot of news that impacts this thing comes from oversaes. this is the thing where you want to look at technicals more than anything else. we know the fundamentals aren't great. 23 and change. 23 and a quarter. that's a really important level. i would not be a buyer until it can break above that and hold. if it retests that level after busting through this is good for a five or six-point breakout but not until. >> big moves on wall street today as americans go to the polls. which candidate will be better for wall street and your money is this harold ford was a five-term democratic congressman and now a managing director at morgan stanley. anthony scaramucci is one of mitt romney's national finance chairs. good to have you with us. how do we counter claims that romney is better for the investor class and better for wall street? >> good afternoon
something tonight. >>> the outcomes of the races will go a long way in deciding whether the u.s. economy hits the fiscal cliff or goes off the edge and whether buernanke will be leading the federal reserve. joining us is marty feldstein. thank you very much for joining us this evening. >> nice to be with you this evening. >> we have a lot of questions. the fiscal cliff. if we go over the fiscal cliff, if there is not an agreement before january 1 what does that mean for the economy? >> i hope there is an agreement because it would be pretty disastrous. the congressional budget a office told us it would take 4% to 5% of gdp out of the economy. in other words we would be in a recession for sure and a deep one unless we come bouncing back t quickly. in other words, congress reverses itself after letting us go over the cliff. >> handicap what you think happened in either scenario if president obama is reelected or if governor romney is elected. >> i think in both cases there is a better than even chance we will go over the cliff. i think if president romney gets elected he will say i want to
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